Hillary Won The Battle on Tuesday, But Lost The War in February

Hillary Clinton’s fear ads, a one-hour three-way attack on Obama on the ABC, alleged “gaffe’s”, “shady” Obama supporters, and Clinton’s superhuman campaign schedule delivered Senator Clinton the Pennsylvania democratic primary this Tuesday.

This was a great victory for Senator Clinton, a pivotal moment in her political career, and one which will likely deliver her to the White House…

… is what I would be saying if this primary had been held about two months and half ago.

Unfortunately for Sen. Clinton, all this victory did was further delay her forcible removal from this contest. She is currently trailing in polls in both Indiana and North Carolina, states in which she needs to win over 70% of the vote in order to be on track to catch Obama in pledged delegates if she can maintain that margin in all remaining states.

Let me make this clear. There is, absolutely, positively, ZERO chance that Senator Clinton will win the Democratic party nomination without a majority of pledged delegates. Period. The popular vote argument has more holes than a golf course. Aside from the fact that it has no actual or official relevance, not all states (WA and IA, for example) have even given their popular vote totals, no one will agree on count the totals in TX (which had a caucus and primary), and what the F*$K would be done about MI, where Obama’s name was not on the ballot.

All Mrs. Clinton is doing right now is airing Mr. McCain’s ads in advance. Which may not be a bad thing: given the attention span of the average American and cable news outlet, Mr. McCain may not have much left to say about Mr. Obama, now that the kitchen sink, refrigerator, microwave, oven, and all other kitchen appliances have been thrown at him. It will kind of like the final scene in 8 mile, where Eminem’s character is still standing proud after so much slander, insulting, and suffering, that his opponent is left speechless and concedes.

Yes, Mrs. Clinton is wasting millions of dollars. Yes her campaign is massively in debt, hostile, desperate, and plagued with in-fighting. Yes Bill Clinton out of his cage and ruining his legacy. But Obama continues to fundraise at unprecedented levels, and is increasing his lead over Mrs. Clinton both at the national level and in the remaining states. He reduced a 20-point lead in what is demographically Mrs. Clinton’s best state down to a 9 point lead. He leads now in both Indiana and North Carolina, with near three times the amount of money available to spend. Barring something unforeseen (ala Eliot Spitzer or Larry Craig), he will officially become Democratic party’s nominee on May 7th, the day after those states vote and Teresa’s birthday, a day I am calling Super-Duper-Flooper Tuesday.

Or I’m wrong and Mrs. Clinton will destroy the most inspirational and exciting political figure in four decades, devastate the Democratic party, validate politics by fear and manipulation over hope and honesty, and take our country back to the extremely polarized days of the 90’s, where she was unable to even bring her health care plan to the Senate floor, except that now will be in the middle of two wars, a recession, and an energy crisis. But I’m not wrong. Probably.